Prelims
Contemporary Issues in International Trade
ISBN: 978-1-83797-321-7, eISBN: 978-1-83797-320-0
Publication date: 28 May 2024
Citation
(2024), "Prelims", Bhattacharyya, R. and Mazumdar, D. (Ed.) Contemporary Issues in International Trade, Emerald Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. i-xxxiii. https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-83797-320-020241023
Publisher
:Emerald Publishing Limited
Copyright © 2024 Rajib Bhattacharyya and Debashis Mazumdar. Published under exclusive licence by Emerald Publishing Limited
Half Title Page
Contemporary Issues in International Trade
Endorsements
This edited book is a collection of papers presented in an international conference and pre-conference workshop organized by the Heritage College, Kolkata in collaboration with Goenka College of Commerce and Business Administration, Kolkata, India. The admirable range of topics and geographic location of speakers can easily signal the wide impact this volume is likely to have on research and pedagogy. The usual professional appetite of the field of international trade restricts itself to the analyses of welfare and efficiency aspects of trade theory and policy with reference to standard institutional framework such as the WTO and respective governments. This volume goes much beyond such usual terrain of engagement and brings to the fore critical issues which confront us and demand urgent analytical attention. Some examples, as included in the volume, are Trade and Human Capital Formation, Role of Block Chain Technology and Fake News in the context of trade strategies, the implications of BREXIT and Russia-Ukraine war for the developing world, impact of trade on marginalized communities, etc. Such topics do not overshadow more mainstream issues and authors provide fresh perspectives about them also. The holistic get together of scholars and topics under the same umbrella of this volume is indeed a rare treat. This volume would not only help researchers working on the frontier of trade policy and variety of trade shocks, but it would be a very useful toolkit of ideas for students and teachers of international trade, all across the globe. The editor deserves to be congratulated for a job done well.
Professor (Dr) Sugata Marjit
First Distinguished Professor, Indian Institute of Foreign Trade
Former Vice-Chancellor, Calcutta University
Reviewers and Editorial Board
Chief Editors
Dr Rajib Bhattacharyya, Associate Professor in Economics, Goenka College of Commerce and Business Administration, Kolkata, India.
Dr Debashis Mazumdar, Professor of Economics and HOD, Department of Economics, The Heritage College, Kolkata, India.
Associate Editors
Dr Ramesh Ch. Das, Professor and Head, Department of Economics, Vidyasagar University, West Bengal, India.
Dr Pinaki Das, Professor, Department of Economics, Vidyasagar University, West Bengal, India.
Dr Sujatra Bhattacharya, Associate professor in Economics, Srish Chandra College, Kolkata, India.
Dr Hiranya Lahiri, Assistant Professor in Economics, Assistant Professor, M.U.C. Women's College, Burdwan, West Bengal, India.
Assistant Editors
Dr Sidddhartha Roy, Associate Professor, Department of Computer Science & Engineering, UEM, Kolkata.
Ankita Rajgarhia, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, The Heritage College, Kolkata.
Puja Putatunda, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, The Heritage College, Kolkata.
Dipanjan Basu, Assistant Professor, Department of Commerce, The Heritage College, Kolkata.
Dr Anisha Sen, Assistant Professor and HOD, Department of English, The Heritage College, Kolkata.
Title Page
Contemporary Issues in International Trade: Challenges and Opportunities
Edited By
Rajib Bhattacharyya
Goenka College of Commerce and Business Administration, India
And
Debashis Mazumdar
The Heritage College, India
United Kingdom – North America – Japan – India – Malaysia – China
Copyright Page
Emerald Publishing Limited
Emerald Publishing, Floor 5, Northspring, 21-23 Wellington Street, Leeds LS1 4DL
First edition 2024
Editorial matter and selection © 2024 Rajib Bhattacharyya and Debashis Mazumdar.
Individual chapters © 2024 The authors.
Published under exclusive licence by Emerald Publishing Limited.
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A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library
ISBN: 978-1-83797-321-7 (Print)
ISBN: 978-1-83797-320-0 (Online)
ISBN: 978-1-83797-322-4 (Epub)
List of Figures and Tables
Figures | ||
Chapter 2 | ||
Fig. 2.1. | Offshoring in Continuum of Activities Model. | 16 |
Chapter 4 | ||
Fig. 4.1. | A Macroeconomic Vulnerability Index for Less-Developed Countries (1993). | 54 |
Fig. 4.2. | Macroeconomic Vulnerability Index for Less-Developed Countries (2004). | 55 |
Fig. 4.3. | Macroeconomic Vulnerability Index for Less-Developed Countries (2014). | 55 |
Fig. 4.4. | Macroeconomic Vulnerability Index for Less-Developed Countries (2005). | 57 |
Fig. 4.5. | Macroeconomic Vulnerability Index for Less-Developed Countries (2016). | 57 |
Fig. 4.6. | Macroeconomic Vulnerability Index for Less-Developed Countries (2020). | 58 |
Chapter 5 | ||
Fig. 5.1. | Share of Different UNECE Groups in India's Auto Exports (%). | 68 |
Fig. 5.2. | Share of Different UNECE Groups in India's Auto Imports (%). | 69 |
Fig. 5.3. | India's Trade for Auto Products (HS-87) for Different UNECE Groups (Million USD). | 69 |
Chapter 9 | ||
Fig. 9.1. | World Merchandise Trade Volume (2015Q1–2023Q4). | 129 |
Fig. 9.2. | Changes in Mean Tariff (%) by Region. | 134 |
Fig. 9.3. | Employment Deficit Relative to 2019 by Sex and Age, 2020–22 (Percentage). | 137 |
Fig. 9.4. | Youth Employment Deficit Relative to 2019 in Various Sub-Regions, 2020–22 (Percentage). | 138 |
Fig. 9.5. | Intensity of Youth Employment in Total Employment Across Sectors, by Sex, 2019 (Percentage). | 139 |
Chapter 11 | ||
Fig. 11.1. | Foreign Welfare Function Under Duopoly (U-Shaped). | 169 |
Fig. 11.2. | Foreign Welfare Function Under Duopoly (Increasing). | 169 |
Fig. 11.3. | Foreign Welfare Function Under Monopoly (Decreasing). | 169 |
Chapter 13 | ||
Fig. 13.1. | Framework of Blockchain Enabled Global Supply Chain. | 197 |
Fig. 13.2. | A Typical Architecture of BCEGSC. | 200 |
Chapter 14 | ||
Fig. 14.1. | Representation of International Trade Agreements in Form of Networks. | 214 |
Chapter 17 | ||
Fig. 17.1. | Trend of Female Labor Force Participation Rate (FLFPR) in Bangladesh During 2001–2022. | 252 |
Fig. 17.2. | Export of Readymade Garments (RMG) From Bangladesh During 2012–2021. | 253 |
Fig. 17.3. | Vulnerable Employment Among the Female Workers in Bangladesh. | 256 |
Chapter 18 | ||
Fig. 18.1. | Export From South Asia (US $ Thousand) 1988–2020. | 274 |
Fig. 18.2. | Export From India (US $ Thousand) 1988–2020. | 275 |
Fig. 18.3. | FDI in Agriculture and Allied Sectors as a Share of GDP in Agriculture and Allied Sectors (India and South Asia) 1988–2020. | 275 |
Chapter 19 | ||
Fig. 19.1. | Determination of Equilibrium W. | 284 |
Chapter 21 | ||
Fig. 21.1. | Cash Flow Channel in Equities. | 313 |
Fig. 21.2. | Systematic Risk and Valuation Channel. | 313 |
Tables | ||
Chapter 3 | ||
Table 3.1. | Differing Impact Across Product Group: World Exports. | 41 |
Table 3.2. | Differing Impact Across Country-Product Group: Exports. | 42 |
Table 3.3. | Gravity Model Results-World. | 44 |
Table 3.4. | Gravity Model Results-India vs China. | 45 |
Chapter 4 | ||
Table 4.1. | Most and Least Vulnerable Countries. | 51 |
Table 4.2. | The Index for Different Countries (2014). | 52 |
Table 4.3. | IMV for the Year 2020 of Different Countries. | 59 |
Chapter 5 | ||
Table 5.1. | Summary Analysis for WITS-SMART Simulation Results. | 72 |
Table 5.2. | Export Intensity Index of India in Top 20 Traded Products. | 76 |
Chapter 6 | ||
Table 6.1. | Static Panel Regression Estimates. | 88 |
Table 6.2. | Dynamic Panel Estimates in Short Run and Long Run. | 89 |
Table 6.3. | Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass Through. | 90 |
Chapter 7 | ||
Table 7.1. | Descriptive Statistics. | 100 |
Table 7.2. | Gravity Model Results. | 101 |
Table 7.3. | Index Rank. | 106 |
Table 7.4. | High-Tech Export Rank. | 107 |
Table 7.5. | Mid-Tech Export Rank. | 109 |
Chapter 8 | ||
Table 8.1. | Control and Treated Group at the NIC 3-Digit Level. | 120 |
Table 8.2. | Basic Results for the Treatment Effect Model. | 121 |
Chapter 9 | ||
Table 9.1. | Annual Percentage Change in Merchandise Trade Volume and Real GDP (2018–2023(P)). | 130 |
Table 9.2. | Annualized Changes in Real Wages and Employment, by Region. | 134 |
Table 9.3. | Youth Employment-to-Population Ratio, by Sex, World, and by Country Income Group, 1995–22 (Percentage). | 136 |
Table 9.4. | Youth Unemployment and Unemployment Rate, 2019–22. | 139 |
Table 9.5. | Descriptive Statistics. | 143 |
Table 9.6. | Results of Unit Test (ADF). | 143 |
Table 9.7. | Regression Results. | 144 |
Table 9.8. | Pairwise Granger Causality Tests. | 147 |
Chapter 10 | ||
Table 10.1. | Table Showing Estimates of 12 Countries Life and Nonlife Insurance Growth Model. | 156 |
Table 10.2. | Insurance Industry Rankings of Selected Countries in 2007, 2014, and 2020. | 157 |
Chapter 11 | ||
Table 11.1. | Game Theoretic Presentation (No Externality). | 174 |
Chapter 12 | ||
Table 12.1. | Panel Unit Root Results. | 186 |
Table 12.2. | GMM Estimation Results for Eq. (12.1). | 187 |
Table 12.3. | GMM Estimation Results for Eq. (12.2). | 189 |
Table 12.4. | GMM Estimation Results for Eq. (12.3). | 190 |
Chapter 13 | ||
Table 13.1. | Types of Security Attack and Preventive Measure. | 203 |
Chapter 14 | ||
Table 14.1. | Network Statistics of Bilateral Trade Agreement. | 215 |
Chapter 15 | ||
Table 15.1. | Trade Balance of India With Its Major Asian Partners in 2017. | 220 |
Table 15.2. | Shares of Different Product Groups in India's Total Exports to and Imports From Asia_24 (%). | 224 |
Table 15.3. | Panel Data Estimation for Ln.Exp_Ind (Export to Asia_24). | 227 |
Table 15.4. | Panel Data Estimation for Ln.Imp_Ind (Import From Asia_24). | 230 |
Chapter 16 | ||
Table 16.1. | Results of Panel Regression. | 241 |
Table 16.2. | Dynamic Panel Analysis of ROA of Indian Computer Industry is Expressed as | 243 |
Chapter 17 | ||
Table 17.1. | Sector-Wise Labor Force Participation Rate in Bangladesh During 1999–2017. | 251 |
Chapter 18 | ||
Table 18.1. | Regressions on Labor Productivity of Petty UNMS (OAME) and Modern UNMS (NDME + DME). | 272 |
Table 18.2. | Monthly Per Capita Consumer Expenditure Over Two Groups of “Food” Items for Farmer Households Across Different MPCE Classes (All-India in Rs). | 273 |
Chapter 19 | ||
Table 19.1. | Regression Results. | 288 |
Chapter 20 | ||
Table 20.1. | Association Between Recent Business Loss by KAM Partners – Vendors' Response and Achilles Point – Vendors' Response. | 295 |
Table 20.2. | Association Between Recent Business Loss by KAM Partners – Vendors' Response and Training Vendors' Response. | 296 |
Table 20.3. | Association Between Vendors' Profit % Margin and Rating of Existing Relationship With KAM Partners – Customer Response. | 297 |
Table 20.4. | Association Between Recent Business Loss by KAM Partners and Number of Existing Key Accounts – Vendors' Response. | 299 |
Chapter 21 | ||
Table 21.1. | Credit Rating and Outlook Change From 1988 to 2022. | 316 |
About the Editors
Dr Rajib Bhattacharyya is an Associate Professor (WBES-A) in the Department of Economics, Goenka College of Commerce and Business Administration, Kolkata, India. He obtained his bachelor degree in Economics from St Xavier's College, Kolkata, and his master degree in Economics, from University of Calcutta. He did his MPhil and PhD in Economics, both from the University of Calcutta. He has 22 years of teaching experience at the undergraduate and postgraduate levels. His fields of interests are international trade, finance, Indian economic development, and women empowerment. He has contributed a good number of articles in reputed national and international journals/books, viz., IGI Global (USA), Emerald (UK), Taylor & Francis, and Springer. He has been invited to deliver lectures in many UGC sponsored Seminars/Webinars/Conferences. He has also worked as a member of the editorial board of various national and international level journals. He had been conferred the best paper award in an International Seminar on “Recent Trends and Perspectives in Economics” on January 2016. He has served as an invited reviewer in Indian Economic Journal (Sage), Foreign Trade Review (Sage), Journal of Asian and African Studies (Sage), and International Journal of ICT Research and Development in Africa (IGI Global). He also has the experience of guiding PhD students.
Dr Debashis Mazumdar is now serving at The Heritage College, Kolkata, West Bengal, India, as a Professor and HOD in the Department of Economics. He has been teaching Economics both at undergraduate and postgraduate levels for the last 42 years. He completed his postgraduate study in Economics from Jadavpur University, Kolkata; M Phil in Economics from the University of Calcutta; and done his PhD from Rabindra Bharati University, Kolkata. He started his career as an Assistant Professor in Economics in a Government College of South Tripura. During his service period he has served at Sudhiranjan Lahiri mahavidyalaya, Nadia, and Bangabasi College, Kolkata. He has also been working as a Visiting Faculty at the PG (Commerce) section of Nababullygunj Mahavidyalaya, Kolkata, since 2013. He was also an empaneled research guide for PhD scholars at Vidyasagar University, Madinipur, West Bengal, and two scholars have been awarded PhD degree under his guidance. He has authored/co-authored about 40 text books in Economics (some of which are the prescribed text books at the undergraduate level of Calcutta University), contributed about 65 research articles in national and international journals and edited two conference volumes. He has also worked as a Reviewer of Book Proposals and as a member of the Editorial Board in reputed publishing houses like IGI Global (USA), Emerald (UK), Routledge, etc. His research areas consist of international trade, green marketing, rural development, etc.
About the Contributors
Aaheli Ahmed is currently a Doctoral Scholar at IIFT. She has previously taught at the graduate level in the Department of Economics, Jogomaya Devi College (under University of Calcutta). She has also undertaken research projects funded by the Ministry of Commerce and published her research both in India and abroad.
Salma Akhter is now holding the post of Professor of Sociology, Dhaka University, Bangladesh. She completed her MPhil in Sociology from the University of Cambridge, UK, in 1997. She received a fellowship for gender research at Helsinki University, Finland, in 2000. She has a long experience in consultancy and research in the fields of sociology, anthropology, and gender studies. During her teaching career, she has undertaken several projects sponsored by UNDP, World Bank, ADB, UNESCO, Save the Children, Plan International, UNWFP, UNV, Danida, Royal Norwegian Embassy, Danish Embassy, ILO, IFPRI, Tradicraft, Oxfam, UNICED, UNCDF, JICA, ITDG, and Government departments during 1991–2019. Her research works have been published in several reputed journals.
Nishat Alam is currently pursuing a postgraduate program in Economics at University of Calcutta. She specializes in the area of development economics, econometrics, and international trade.
Subhasree Banerjee, PhD Student, Indian Institute of Foreign Trade, Kolkata Campus. Subhasree has a Masters in Economics from Delhi School of Economics and has worked for over two decades in the financial sector, in organizations like ICRA, HSBC, Standard Chartered Bank, Moody's Analytics, and Fitch Ratings. At present, she is pursuing PhD in Economics at IIFT. Her research interest includes technology intensity of Indian manufacturing and exports.
Ripudaman Bhardwaj is a Research Associate at Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Mumbai. He is a Research Associate at Centre for Advanced Financial Research and Learning (CAFRAL), Mumbai.
Ranajoy Bhattacharyya is currently the Professor of Economics at Indian Institute of Foreign Trade (IIFT), Kolkata. Before joining at IIFT Kolkata, he served as a Visiting Professor, Roanoke College, Salem, Virginia, US, in 2007; as Reader, Department of Business management, Calcutta University during 2007–2008; as Visiting Fellow, Sejong University, Seoul, Korea, during 2003–2007; as a Senior Lecturer, Department of Business Management, Calcutta University during 2002–2003; as a Visiting Lecturer, Department of Economics, Calcutta University during 1997–2003; as a Visiting Lecturer, XLRI, Jamshedpur, since 1992; and as a Lecturer, West Bengal Educational Service, during 1991–1995. He was the recipient of the Fulbright Scholar in Residence award in 2007–2008 and the Asia Fellows award in 2002–2003. His area of interest lies in international economics and environmental economics.
Mainak Bhattacharjee is currently an Assistant Professor in Economics at Loreto College, Kolkata, India. He has also worked in the same post in The Heritage College, Kolkata, India. He has obtained MPhil and MA in Economics, respectively, from the Jadavpur University. He has been working in the areas of Macroeconomics and International Trade. He has produced many research articles published in reputed journals.
SK Bhogal is the Dean, Humanities & Social Science, Shri Venkateshwara University, UP, India.
Atreyee Sinha Chakraborty is an Associate Professor at Gokhale Institute of Politics and Economics (GIPE), Pune, India. Atreyee's primary research interests are international trade, with a special focus on non-tariff barriers. Her secondary focus area is the economics of discrimination, the reasons behind the persistence of gaps in attainments for marginalized groups. She has published more than 12 research papers in peer-reviewed journals with high impact factors. She has also presented more than 15 research papers in different national and international conferences.
Debashis Chakraborty is a Professor at Department of Economics, IIFT, Kolkata. His research interest includes international trade, environmental sustainability and economic development. For the last decade, he is the Editorial Board member of Foreign Trade Review (Sage), a comprehensive forum for disseminating theoretical and empirical research on international trade-related issues.
Saumya Chakrabarti is a Professor of Economics, Visva-Bharati, Santiniketan. He taught at St Xavier's College, University of Calcutta, and Presidency University. Professor Chakrabarti was a visiting fellow at Brown University. He was an Honorary Director, Agro-Economic Research Centre, Santiniketan. He has published for the Cambridge Journal of Economics, Review of Radical Political Economics, Economic and Political Weekly, Oxford University Press, etc. He has contributed considerably to vernacular dailies.
Nilendu Chatterjee is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Economics, Bankim Sardar College (affiliated to University of Calcutta), West Bengal, India. He has research interests in resource economics, international economics, econometrics, and development economics. He has published a number of research articles in several international journals of economics including International Journal of Sustainable Economies Management, Economic Affairs, Foreign Trade Review and Journal of knowledge Economy, Springer, Routledge, and many more. ORCID - https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8570-0262.
Riddhi Chatterjee is an Assistant Professor at Department of Economics, Sree Chaitanya College, Habra. Her research area and specialization includes international economics and environment and resource economics.
Tonmoy Chatterjee is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Economics, Ananda Chandra College, West Bengal, India. He has research interest in international trade theory, general equilibrium, health economics, and development economics. He has published a number of research articles in several international journals of economics including Review of Economics, International Journal of Sustainable Economies Management, Economic Affairs, Foreign Trade Review, and The Pakistan Development Review. ORCID- https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9666-479X.
Bibek Ray Chaudhuri is a Professor at Indian Institute of Foreign Trade, Kolkata Campus. He did his PhD in Economics from Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi, India. He is currently the Professor of Economics at Indian Institute of Foreign Trade (IIFT), Kolkata, India. He started his career as a Consultant at the National Council for Applied Economic Research (NCAER), a leading think tank in New Delhi, India. He was a Visiting Fellow at School of Environment, Education and Development (SEED), the University of Manchester, UK. His research interests include trade, microfinance, and political marketing. He has published in journals like Journal of Business Research (Elsevier), Market Intelligence and Planning (Emerald), Journal of Political Marketing (Taylor and Francis), Journal of Industrial Statistics, Journal of Asian Business Studies (Emerald). He was a recipient of the prestigious “Japanese Award for Outstanding Research on Development”, conferred by Ministry of Finance, Government of Japan and Global Development Network (GDN). An avid traveler and likes to visit places; other hobbies include reading and sports.
Pratip Kumar Datta is an educator specialising in Economics and Mathematics at Rajatpur I.N. Vidyapith, Bolpur, India. He’s a member of the Economics Research Committee, XLVI Indian Social Science Congress 2023. Datta’s research contributions are published in journals and books from the Review of Radical Political Economics, Routledge, IGI Global, etc., and he actively participates in sociopolitical discussions through newspapers, news portals, and popular journals.
Dr Oindrila Dey is an Assistant Professor of Economics and the Program Director for the Master of Arts in Economics. She is also a fellow of the Global Labour Organization. Her areas of interest for research are Applied Microeconomic Theory, Trade, and Development Economics.
Ajanta Ghosh is a research scholar at St Xavier's University, Kolkata. She has an MBA and MCom degree from the University of Calcutta. She is working as an Assistant Professor of Finance at Institute of Engineering & Management, Kolkata, for the last 11 years. Prior to that she has a corporate experience of 9 years.
Sitangshu Khatua is an Associate Professor Finance St Xavier's University, Kolkata. He has a PhD (XLRI), MBA, BTech (NIT), MTech (CU), CFA, and ERP. He had presented several research articles in national and international conferences in India and abroad and published 50 papers in peer-reviewed well-rated journals. He has authored six books, like Financial Economics and Project Management & Appraisal from OUP.
Rishab Lodh is pursuing his PhD in Economics at Indian Institute of Foreign Trade, Kolkata. He is presently working in the area of Fake News and Asymmetric Information. His research interests lies in game theory, network economics, and applied microeconomics.
Kalpita Ray is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Economics, Surendranath Evening College, Kolkata, India. She has research interest in industrial economics and trade policies. She has published a number of research articles in number of reputed journals and edited books.
Saikat Sinha Roy teaches Economics at Jadavpur University, Kolkata. Untill recently, he was the Coordinator of the Centre for Advanced Studies, Department of Economics, Jadavpur University. He holds a PhD from Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi, done at the Centre for Development Studies, Thiruvananthapuram. His areas of academic interests include open economy macroeconomics, trade and development, and applied trade modeling, among others. Currently, he is part of a global research project titled “Special Economic Zones: A force for good to reduce inequality?” funded by Riksbankens. He has published in various national and international journals, and in edited volumes including a recent co-edited book titled International Trade and International Finance: Explorations of Contemporary Issues.
Siddhartha Roy is presently an Associate Professor in Computer Science and Engineering (IoT) Department, University of Engineering and Management, Kolkata. He has completed PhD in Computer Engineering from Jadavpur University, India. He did MCA from the Indian Institute of Science and Technology (Previously Shibpur BE College), India, obtained MBA in Operational Management, and graduated in Mathematics Honors from St Xavier's College, Kolkata, India. He had taken professional development training from TAFE, Adelaide, South Australia. His main research interest includes machine learning, deep learning, blockchain application, and network security. He has several publications both in national and international level peer-reviewed journals and is also the author of several textbooks at undergraduate levels.
Samrat Roy is currently the PhD Coordinator and Assistant Professor in Economics in the postgraduate and Research Department of Commerce, St Xavier's College (Autonomous), Kolkata. His research interests include applied macro econometrics and international economics. Dr Roy has published research papers in national and international journals of repute.
Sonali Saha, a Research Scholar, is presently working as an Assistant Professor at St Xavier's College (Autonomous), Kolkata. She has completed her MPhil from the University of Calcutta and has taught in various colleges of repute. Her research interests are in the area of insurance, banking, and other economic issues.
Gautam Samaddar is the Ex-Regional Director of Philips India Limited and CEO of Mission Hospital, Durgapur. He has 32 years of experience in deal closing from both sides of the table (as a customer as well as a supplier for B to B & B to C). He is pursuing PhD in Management at Shree Venkateshwara University, UP, India.
Subhasis Santra is an assistant teacher in Economics in Calcutta Airport English High School (H.S), Kolkata, India. He has been awarded PhD degree in Economics by Vidyasagar University, West Bengal, India, in 2022. His area of interest is contemporary issues on India's foreign trade.
Darpajit Sengupta is a Senior Research Fellow pursuing his PhD in Department of Economics, Jadavpur University, Kolkata. He is the recipient of UGC-NET fellowship. He had interned with MOSPI, GOI. He was a Visiting Faculty at Scottish Church College (2017–2019) and St Xavier's College (2023). His research interest lies in open economy macro modeling, international trade, and applied econometrics.
Soumyen Sikdar is a (Retd.) Professor, Indian Institute of Management, Calcutta, since 2009. He did his BA (Economics) at Presidency College, Calcutta, MA (Economics) at University of Calcutta, and was awarded PhD (Economics) from University of Minnesota, US. He served as Associate Professor, Centre for Economic Studies, Presidency College, Calcutta (January 1986 to December 1990); Professor, Burdwan University (January 1991 to March 1995); Visiting Fellow IGIDR, Mumbai (August–September 1993); Professor, University of Calcutta (April 1995 to March 2009); Visiting Professor, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University, Japan (September 1998 to February 1999, August–November 2008); Visiting Professor, Shenzhen University, China (November 1–25, 2009). He has contributed in many national and international journals of repute and has also published several valuable books from Oxford, Springer, and others.
C Veeramani assumed the position of the 10th Director of the Centre for Development Studies (CDS), Thiruvananthapuram, India on June 1, 2023. Previously, he served as a Professor at the Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research (IGIDR) in Mumbai, as an Associate Professor from May 2006 to January 2018, and as a Professor of Economics from February 2018 to May 2023. He holds a PhD and MPhil in Economics from Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU), New Delhi. Before joining IGIDR, he worked with the Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations (ICRIER) in New Delhi and the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Bombay. He was a Visiting Fellow at the Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University. He is the recipient of the EXIM Bank International Economic Development Research award 2003 for the best doctoral dissertation in international economics. Professor Veeramani serves as the Joint Managing Editor of the Journal of Quantitative Economics and as the Economics Area Editor of the Journal of Indian Business Research.
Acknowledgement
By choosing carefully an international array of authors who are eminent economists and active researchers in their fields of international trade and finance, as editors we have provided my persistent endeavor to develop a theme which happens to be very relevant in the present-day context of “Corona Pandemic”. Starting from conceptualization of the theme, selection of papers, editing, and ultimate publication of the proposed edited book entitled “Contemporary Issues in International Trade: Challenges and Opportunities”, it has been a unique compilation. We really feel delighted and hope that we have succeeded in adding value to a considerable literature in the process of making this edited volume. We also expect that this volume will have a high market demand not only to researchers and academicians but also to policymakers and social thinkers. We really feel proud as editors that the authors of this book have provided immense support, cooperation, and extended their whole hearted helping hand to make this project a successful one. Hence, it would be unjustified if the contributors are not acknowledged for their valuable contributions. We would also like to express our deep gratitude to Professor (Dr) Sugata Marjit for taking out his valuable time to write the foreword for this book. We also extend our heartiest thanks to other academicians and resource persons of the society associated with this project.
We must thank the entire Emerald Publishing team for their able and insightful guidance and support at every stage of this edited volume. Secondly, we express our deep gratitude to eminent academicians like Dr Soumyen Sikdar (Rtd. Professor, IIM, Kolkata), Dr C. Veeramani (Director and Professor, CDS, Kerala), Dr Atiur Rahman (Former Governor, Bangladesh Bank), Dr Sugata Marjit (First Distinguished Professor, IIFT) Dr Rajat Acharyya (Professor of Economics, and Director UGC-HRDC, Jadavpur University), Dr Bibek Ray Chaudhuri (Professor of Economics, IIFT, Kolkata), Dr Amitabha Chatterjee, (HOD, Commerce, Scottish Church College), Dr Sudipta Roy, professor of Finance, University of St Francis, Illinois, Dr Ranajoy Bhattacharya (Professor of Economics, IIFT, Kolkata), Dr Debashis Chakraborty (Professor of Economics, IIFT, Kolkata), Dr Saikat Sinha Roy (Professor, Department of Economics, Jadavpur University), Dr Dibyendu Maity (Professor, Delhi School of Economics), Dr Salma Akhter (Department of Sociology, University of Dhaka, Bangladesh), Dr Pritish K Sahu (Associate Professor, IMI Bhubaneswar), Dr Devaki Ghosh (Economist, World Bank, USA), Dr Shankarshan Basu (Dean, AMSM, Ahmedabad), Dr Rajeswari Sengupta (IGIDR, Mumbai), and Dr Saumya Chakrabarti (Professor, Visvaa Bharati University) for their valuable contribution and guidance.
We also express our heartfelt thanks to Shri Pradip Agarwal, CEO, The Heritage Group of Institutions, Amitava Ghosh (Teacher-in-charge, The Heritage college), Dr Abhijit Datta (Principal, Goenka College of Commerce and Business Administration, Kolkata), Dipanjan Basu (Assistant Professor of Commerce and Jt. Convener, Seminar Committee, The Heritage College), and Dr Mrityendu Narayan Roy (Convener, Seminar Committee, Goenka College). Also, we would like to thank Dr Sidddhartha Roy, Associate Professor, Department of Computer Science & Engineering, UEM, Kolkata; Ankita Rajgarhia, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, The Heritage College, Kolkata; Puja Putatunda, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, The Heritage College, Kolkata; Dr Anisha Sen, Assistant Professor, Department of English, The Heritage College, Kolkata; Dr Runa Roy, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Goenka College, Kolkata; Dr Antara Dhar, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Goenka College, Kolkata; Arindam Jana, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Goenka College, Kolkata; Sushrita Mukherjee, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Goenka College, Kolkata; Dr Surajit Dawn, Assistant Professor, Department of Commerce, Goenka College; Krishnendu Maji, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Goenka College; and all other members related to the seminar in both the Heritage and Goenka College.
But above all we are sincerely grateful to our parents and family members for their cooperation, inspiration, and tremendous mental support.
Dr Rajib Bhattacharyya
Dr Debashis Mazumdar
Editors
Introduction
The past two decades have been a turbulent period for the global economy, opening with the global financial crisis and passing through Brexit, election of an American president with an “America First” agenda, COVID-19 pandemic, and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war. The crisis brought to the forefront multiple challenges as well as opportunities. Given this backdrop, this edited collection of chapters is expected to shed new light on the challenges and opportunities in global trade and correspondingly on strategies to be followed by the policymakers while framing the new Trade Policy.
The world is going to witness the third weakest pace of growth in nearly three decades as global growth is expected to decelerate sharply to 1.7% in 2023, particularly due to recessions caused by the pandemic and the global financial crisis. The United States, the euro area, and China are all undergoing a period of pronounced weakness, and the resulting spillovers are exacerbating other headwinds faced by Emerging Market and Developing economies (EMDEs). The combination of slow growth, tightening financial conditions, and heavy indebtedness is likely to weaken investment and trigger corporate defaults. Further negative shocks – such as higher inflation, even tighter policy, financial stress, deeper weakness in major economies, or rising geopolitical tensions – could push the global economy into recession.
WTO rules underpin the bulk of global merchandise trade. But we need to update the rule book to respond to the 21st century issues: changes arising from digital economy as well as global commons challenges such as climate, health and social inclusion.
Dr Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, Director General, WTO
The biggest losers from international trade are always those whose skills have a cheaper competitor in a different market.
Dr Gita Gopinath, Deputy Managing Director, IMF
The flow of goods and services through cross-border trade across nations has shown an increasing trend during the last few decades with occasional ups and downs during, say, East Asian Crisis (1997–1998), financial crisis (2008–2009), pandemic period (2020–2021), etc. When measured in terms of trade openness, viz., the sum total of world exports and imports as a proportion of world GDP, a gradual increase is observed on this front during the same period. However, both country specific data as well as world level data clearly indicate the impact of shocks arising out of the events already noted. It is believed that a liberalized trade environment has definitely contributed toward productivity growth in the import competing sector. With a gradual decline in trade barriers, local markets respond and prices of different goods and services also change. This effect percolates to the non-traded goods also and impacts the welfare of the households of different countries. As trade openness leads to changes in factor prices through the creation of demand for specific type of factors, income shares of factors also change across nations. While trade affects wages and employment, it also affects the prices of consumption goods. So households are affected both as consumers and as wage earners.
The acceleration of economic growth, its stability, and long run sustainability in globalized economic regime depends heavily on its two pillars, viz., trade and finance. So, over the last three decades the benefits and costs of trade liberalization and financial integration are most intensely debated topics which have gathered momentum in recent day world. Sound macroeconomic stability, financial integration and development, acceleration of international trade, and strict control over exchange rates volatility are the potential channels through which integration enhances growth and long run sustenance. The future of the emerging nations of Asia and the fate of the developed advanced countries heavily depends on whether they can reap the benefits of this integrated and globalized world.
There are people (including Stanley Fischer and Lawrence Summers) who believe that increased openness to capital flows has, in general, proved essential for countries seeking to rise from lower to middle-income status and removal of restriction on trade and capital flows may usher huge benefits by easing various constraints. But on the contrary, there are others (for example, Dani Rodrik, Jagdish Bhagwati, and Joseph Stiglitz) who argue that deregulation of financial markets would have devastating effect on emerging market economies in the long run and unfettered capital flows may disrupt global financial stability, leading to calls for capital controls and curbs on international asset trade. Empirically, emerging market economies have clearly registered better growth outcomes, on average, than those countries that have not participated in trade liberalization and financial globalization. Yet there are many cross-country studies which failed to establish a positive link between capital account liberalization and growth. The development of BRICS and Britain's exit from the European Union (EU) has also raised several questions to the future of trade openness and financial globalization.
This book attempts to incorporate a wide range of contemporary issues in international trade and finance that have assumed significance in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. A brief summary of the chapters is given below.
Chapter 1 focuses on the global recessions and their characteristics at different time periods. It raised the issue whether the present global scenario points out toward a slump and whether global recession is imminent. The study points out toward some major flaws in the system which are being overlooked in most cases, e.g., problem of rising global inequality in income and wealth. It raised the question whether even stable growth in GDP per capita is desirable in a highly inequitous society. It also highlights how policy rate changes are supposed to control inflation by changing aggregate spending in the system. It further criticizes incorrect monetary policy and faulty regulation of private banks and other financial institutions.
Chapter 2 demonstrates how the reduction of tariff barriers and advancements in transportation and communication technology have facilitated the fragmentation of production processes across different countries. This has led to a significant transformation in the nature and structure of global trade. Rather than focusing on final goods, countries now specialize in specific stages of the production sequence or tasks. The fragmentation of production and the emergence of new trade patterns have far-reaching implications across multiple domains, from the collection and recording of trade data to the formulation of industrial policies, and even to the understanding of income distribution and welfare influenced by global supply chains.
Chapter 3 attempts to show that trade can be severely impacted by economic crisis whatever might have been the trigger. The impact can be through demand side factors reducing trade and further reducing income and employment in the process. It talks about the three episodes: the oil Crisis of early 1970s, the global financial crisis of 2007–2008, and the COVID-19 Crisis of 2019. Across product groups, both agricultural and manufacturing goods exports were more impacted during the global financial crisis. Whereas for services exports the impact was severe during the COVID-19 pandemic. Across country groups the high-income countries were more impacted during the first two episodes whereas the LDCs were more impacted during the pandemic. Further, a Gravity Model estimation was attempted to empirically measure the effects of crisis.
Chapter 4 describes the macroeconomic vulnerability of less-developed countries. A country is vulnerable when it is susceptible to shocks. This paper uses data from 34 developing countries to investigate vulnerability trends for them since the 1990s. It finds that the level of economic development is inversely related to macroeconomic vulnerability. The countries that became less primarily vulnerable belong to the upper middle-income and middle-income groups; the reverse is true for most vulnerable countries up to 2014. Income plays a crucial role in deciding vulnerability in the globalization era. Geographical location is a key factor in measuring vulnerability, especially in African countries. But the reverse result took place in the de-globalization era. In this period, the highest vulnerable countries mostly belong to upper middle- and lower middle-income groups.
Chapter 5 explores India's potential sectoral trade growth with eight partner countries, in the case of RTA-led tariff reforms, through a WITS-SMART simulation exercise. One of the major objectives of India's National Auto Policy (NAP) (2018) is to help the country emerge as a hub for automotive production and R&D. It further aspires to facilitate growth of both domestic sales and exports, not only in finished product segments, but in the auto-components as well. In order to fulfill this long-term objective, two policies had been proposed by NAP (2018). India is presently engaged in RTA negotiations with several developed and developing countries, with potentially beneficial repercussions for automobile exports. However, the question of accession to UNECE WP.29 1958 agreement has not received similar attention of late, which may restrain the anticipated sectoral export growth.
Chapter 6 aims to determine the export price pass-through elasticity, specifically for Indian exports. It employs static and dynamic panel data techniques to estimate these elasticities. Notably, the pass-through effect is more significant in the long term compared to the short term. The dynamic panel analysis, considering broader economic factors, identifies trade openness and global demand as statistically significant in explaining export price variations. Additionally, the study reveals that the response of export prices to exchange rate changes depends on the nature of those changes, with depreciation having a lesser impact than appreciation. Furthermore, this chapter emphasizes the importance of analyzing these effects at the product level for a comprehensive understanding of the underlying mechanisms.
Chapter 7 describes that India's manufacturing exports are heavily tilted toward primary and resource-based products, while its Asian peers have a significant proportion of high- and mid-tech products in their export baskets. It attempts to examine the hurdles faced by technology-intensive exports by India, using gravity panel estimates on its high, mid, and low-tech exports, using data across 130 countries from 2001 and 2019. The study finds that Non-tariff Measures (NTMs) are a stringent hurdle faced by Indian exports, especially in EU. The index for ascertaining India's relative knowledge base shows that while India ranked 6th in 2017, much higher than its Asian peers, its high- and mid-tech exports lagged behind these countries. This puzzle is explained by the fact that scientific research in India has very little industry collaboration and thus is out of sync with market needs.
Chapter 8 evaluates influence of liberalization on Indian manufacturing sector using the empirical evidence over 1987–2018. The liberalization initiative commenced in India from 1991 onwards, replacing the four-decade long import substitution policy. The primary objective was to enhance the role of foreign and private investment, in line with the newly embraced outward-oriented growth model. Recent studies have found that when firm heterogeneity is present in trade models, reforms will lead to a decrease in the number of firms and a rise in their average size. A dataset of 24 manufacturing industries had been used in this study to examine this phenomenon. We also attempt to analyze the magnitude of trade costs in terms of the impact of reforms on wages and prices.
Chapter 9 attempts to investigate the impact of trade flows on the labor market with special emphasis on the recent COVID-19 crisis. Increasing trade liberalization and financial integration with rise in FDI flows have an intense impact on the labor market of both the developed as well as the developing world. The restructuring of economic activity has resulted in destruction of jobs in some parts of the economy and start-ups of new firms in the other part, growing import competition with foreign firms displacing local firms, relocation of jobs from high wage to low wage nations. This chapter seeks to analyze the impact of trade flows on the labor market – job creation or job loss, wage inequality, movement toward informal economy, gender inequalities, and other related issues. The data is based on various reports available from the ILO, WDI, and the UNCTAD and WTO Trade Reports. The empirical analysis also confirms that there is a unidirectional causality from trade to employment generation.
Chapter 10 is an empirical study on the relative stance of Indian insurance market within the framework of selected international insurance markets. The study is to introduce a model, Benchmark Ratio of Insurance Penetration (BRIP), for insurance growth comparison across the selected countries. This model makes an attempt to compare the relative stance between a country's insurance penetration and the selected countries average insurance penetration at an economic level which is at par with the country's GDP per capita. The study is done by selecting the G7 countries and the BRICS nations. This chapter uses the data of 12 countries for the past years (2001–2019) as the sample to study the objective of insurance comparison.
Chapter 11 tries to examine the welfare effects of product standards (which fall under Non-Tariff Barriers (NTBs)) on an exporting country when the country by its own choice prefers to follow the null standard for the domestic market, which is not possible due to high set up cost at two different standards. The model has used a theoretical framework to analyze the effects and has derived some important results. If the standard is not linked with a true negative externality, the exporting country, given the assumptions of the model will always prefer to be discriminated by “tariff” and the importing country will prefer to protect its market by “tariff” rather than going for NTB. Using a game theoretic framework, the study shows that the imposition of standards which does not address any real externality can be an optimum response for an importing country leading to a loss in the global welfare compared to a free trade situation.
Chapter 12 attempts to investigate the Nexus between international trade, economic growth, and environment for the BRICS economies. Using simultaneous equation model and panel data analysis, the study shows how far these three important issues are influenced by one another and related variables. It found that both GDP and trade-related variables have been influential upon one another. But these variables are getting influenced by emission as well as influencing emission are areas of worries which need to be given immense importance in the coming years.
Chapter 13 aims at evaluating the theoretical development and security issues with regard to blockchain technology in the global supply chain. Blockchain technology has found significant success in all fields, including the banking and finance sector, health, manufacturing, transportation, and many others. Recently, the researchers have contributed significantly toward understanding blockchain technology and its application in the organizational and technology-specific factors that play a crucial role in driving its adoption in the supply chain. Blockchain technology plays a vital role to maintain trust among the stakeholder of the supply chain. The purpose of this paper is to discuss a theoretical framework for blockchain adoption in the supply chain in business.
Chapter 14 attempts to examine how misinformation can influence decision-making by fueling individual's belief, prejudices, and stereotypes. In the context of international trade, misinformation refers to the spread of false or misleading information and facts mostly with the malicious intent of maligning reputation of products, services, trade policies, or the trade practices of specific countries. Stereotypes and prejudices fueled by misinformation coupled with economic nationalism and populism casts a dark shadow over the liberal international order. Misinformation, based on populistic beliefs, can escalate trade disputes between countries. These disputes can disrupt trade as well as geopolitical relationships. It motivates us to understand and evaluate international trade in terms of network statistics. This chapter provides an in-depth analysis of 191 trading partners involved in bilateral or multilateral trade agreements.
Chapter 15 focuses on the changing pattern in volume, nature, and trade balance during liberalization of India's foreign trade in Asia. Both export and import have increased manifold during this period with a faster increment in imports over its exports resulting in a huge trade deficit. This study uses a panel data analysis to evaluate the changes in pattern of India's trade, volume of export and import, and balance of trade with other Asian countries in the context of changes in trade policy, tariff rates, exchange rates, FDI, and economic growth during 1988–2017.
Chapter 16 seeks to analyze the capital structure and profitability of Indian computer firms in post information technology agreement period. In fact, trade liberalization may affect investment through marginal profitability of asset by varying projected sales and costs of imported inputs, i.e., by altering the imported input price. This study examines the viable relationship between dynamic profitability and directives of the ITA. The sample is selected from 51 Indian computer firms (14 hardware firms and 37 software firms) level data ranging from 2000–2001 to 2018–2019 and by application of dynamic panel data the results are analyzed in this research work. This chapter observes that return on asset is negatively significant with the ratio between short-term liability and total liability for both the software and hardware sector of Indian computer industry in post ITA policy timeline.
Chapter 17 tries to explore the impact of international trade on the women entrepreneurship of Bangladesh based on the case studies on 50 women entrepreneurs in various levels in Bangladesh and 10 Key Informant Interviews of government officials, business associations, academics, researcher, and microcredit organizations. This is encouraging that due to government's women friendly policies and organizational supports along with better networking through social media in Bangladesh, more and more women of various backgrounds in Bangladesh are coming to business though still concentrated in few traditional areas but they are making space for themselves and creating employment for poorest segment of women and educated young women.
Chapter 18 intends to examine that globalization of agriculture via the Evergreen revolution (which encompasses large-scale production-collection-cleaning-processing-packaging-transportation-storage-distribution-sale of high-value cereals-fruits-flowers-vegetables-agrofuel-feedstock through technology-intensive global value chains) has opened the door to corporate capital involvement in agriculture. While the mainstream perspectives and international organizations have optimistically viewed this as a catalyst for inclusive growth, this article seeks to unveil the concealed hegemony of capital underlying the ostensibly beneficial façade of the Evergreen revolution. It underscores the concerns regarding the immiseration of asset-poor farmers, petty non-farm entrepreneurs, and laborers resulting from the globalization of agriculture. Furthermore, it explores the implications for micro and macro food security in this context.
Chapter 19 attempts to examine on the relationship between trade, skill formation, and human development in terms of a theoretical model. This chapter seeks to develop a General Equilibrium model in line with Jones (1965 and 1971) and Beladi and Marjit (1996) to address how leveraging of foreign trade through technological modernization of exports may work toward skill formation in less-developed economies with technological dualism, informalization, and disguised unemployment. Besides this chapter brings to glare how benefit of such modernization toward skill development stands out to be weighed against a potential worsening of distributive justice in terms of rise in wage gap between skilled and unskilled workers. Moreover, this chapter seeks to overhaul the implication of liberalization of labor market in terms of dilution of minimum wage standard for human development.
Chapter 20 discusses the strategic partnership between medical technology companies and healthcare service providers toward global competitiveness. This study tried to analyze the impact of the strategic Key Account Management (KAM) partnership between multinational Medical Technology (MedTech) companies and healthcare service providers, from a global perspective. For the study, primary data were collected through Questionnaires Survey, and secondary data through a review of literature. Secondary data reveals that the Indian Healthcare sector is highly competitive from a global perspective which can be observed by No's of Venture Capital (VC) investment in healthcare, massive growth in Medical Tourism, and huge investment by International Pharmaceutical Companies in India.
Chapter 21 emphasizes on impact of factoring environment, social and governance in credit rating in India on global capital flow. This chapter focuses on the contemporary issues of including ESG in credit rating and what is the probable impact of doing the same. With favorable rating, companies can access international debt market easily. Moreover, a favorable Sovereign rating is beneficial for the overall economy of a country as better rating enables the Government of the country to access the international debt market. Even capital allocation by foreign institutional investors increases which is beneficial for the equity market too.
- Prelims
- Part A Growth Aspect of International Trade
- Chapter 1 “Imminent” Global Recession: Some Reflections
- Chapter 2 Unraveling the Complexity of Vertical Specialization and Fragmentation Trade: A Survey of Patterns, Drivers, Implications, and Evolving Dynamics
- Chapter 3 Trade Impact of Crisis: A Tale of Three Episodes
- Chapter 4 Macroeconomic Vulnerability of Less-Developed Countries
- Chapter 5 New Dawn or Prolonged Eclipse? Upcoming RTAs and India's Automotive Exports
- Chapter 6 Export Price Pass-Through in India: The Role of Asymmetry
- Chapter 7 Technology Intensive Indian Exports: Hurdles and Puzzles
- Chapter 8 Influence of Liberalization on the Indian Manufacturing Sector: Empirical Evidence Over 1987–2018
- Chapter 9 Trade Flows and Labor Market: Some Reflections
- Chapter 10 An Empirical Study on the Relative Stance of Indian Insurance Market Within the Framework of Selected International Insurance Markets
- Chapter 11 “Imposed” Standards Induced Protectionism in International Trade: A Game Theoretic Exploration
- Chapter 12 Inquiring the Nexus Between International Trade, Economic Growth, and Environment for the BRICS Economies
- Chapter 13 Blockchain Technology in the Global Supply Chain: A Theoretical Overview and Security Issues
- Chapter 14 Fake News, International Trade, and Asymmetric Information: Tracing the Changing Trade Preferences
- Chapter 15 India's Foreign Trade in Asia: The Changing Pattern in Volume, Nature, and Trade Balance During Liberalization
- Chapter 16 Capital Structure and Profitability of Indian Computer Firms
- Part B Development Aspect of International Trade
- Chapter 17 Women's Contribution to Trade in Bangladesh and Challenges in Post-COVID-19 Era
- Chapter 18 Problems of Globalization of Agriculture: A Critique of Inclusive Growth
- Chapter 19 Trade, Skill Formation, and Human Development: A Theoretical Note With Reference to Less Developed Economies
- Chapter 20 Strategic Partnership Between Medical Technology Companies and Health Care Service Providers Toward Global Competitiveness
- Chapter 21 Impact of Factoring Environment, Social, and Governance (ESG) in Credit Rating in India on Global Capital Flow