The Prospect and Volatility of Stock Prices in Aviation Business

Abstract

The aviation business has had a difficult time due to the COVID-19 pandemic in the past year. As a result, people worldwide are limited to travel which causes a decrease in turnover from a business in the transportation sector, particularly aviation. This condition, indeed, also affects the company’s stock price. This study examines the volatility of stock prices as an initial indication of what has happened and looks at future projections. The method used in this study is the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) in achieving research objectives. The findings found that the autoregressive combined moving average on AR1 and MA1 can show conditions based on past data and predict the projection of its volatility. The aviation business is still considered to survive with daily stock prices that are relatively positive and stable for the next upcoming period.

Citation

Hendrawaty, E., Azhar, R. and Kesumah, F.S.D. (2023), "The Prospect and Volatility of Stock Prices in Aviation Business", Barnett, W.A. and Sergi, B.S. (Ed.) Macroeconomic Risk and Growth in the Southeast Asian Countries: Insight from SEA (International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics, Vol. 33B), Emerald Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. 53-62. https://doi.org/10.1108/S1571-03862023000033B004