Interaction between stock and exchange crises in emerging markets

Abstract

This paper investigates the nature of the causal relationship between stock price and exchange rate related to five emerging countries – Mexico, Argentina, Brazil, Thailand, and Malaya – by applying the techniques of unit root, a test proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995), the variance decomposition analysis, and the impulse response function. Empirically, we have found that there is a unidirectional Granger causality for all these countries. This relationship is very important, especially for the case of Malaya. Our results also suggest that total convertibility strengthens the relation between the two markets, but cannot be considered as a crucial determining factor.

Citation

Nabiha, N. and Arab Mounira, B. (2009), "Interaction between stock and exchange crises in emerging markets", Choi, J.J. and Papaioannou, M.G. (Ed.) Credit, Currency, or Derivatives: Instruments of Global Financial Stability Or crisis? (International Finance Review, Vol. 10), Emerald Group Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. 171-189. https://doi.org/10.1108/S1569-3767(2009)0000010009