Index

The Economics of COVID-19

ISBN: 978-1-80071-694-0, eISBN: 978-1-80071-693-3

ISSN: 0573-8555

Publication date: 1 June 2022

This content is currently only available as a PDF

Citation

(2022), "Index", Baltagi, B.H., Moscone, F. and Tosetti, E. (Ed.) The Economics of COVID-19 (Contributions to Economic Analysis, Vol. 296), Emerald Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. 173-178. https://doi.org/10.1108/S0573-855520220000296016

Publisher

:

Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2022 Badi H. Baltagi, Francesco Moscone and Elisa Tosetti. Published under exclusive licence by Emerald Publishing Limited


INDEX

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC)
, 107

Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) procedure
, 5

Autoregressive models with exogenous variables (ARX)

conditional forecasts
, 40–41, 50–52

factor model (FM) approach
, 17, 20, 32

Black, Asian and minority ethnic (BAME) groups
, 132

Business intelligence
, 98–99

Census Household Pulse Survey
, 128

Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI)
, 73–74

Common mental disorder (CMD)
, 126

Comovement, financial markets

asymmetric correlations
, 77

extreme value theory (EVT)
, 78–79

linear setting
, 76

principal components analysis
, 79–80

Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models

consumption patterns
, 59

demand- and supply-side shocks
, 62–63

demand-side effects
, 60

economic impact
, 59

input-output models
, 57–58

labour market
, 61–62

labour productivity
, 62

macroeconomic analysis
, 57–58

neo-Keynesian model
, 64

parameters re-calibration
, 60

SAM-multiplier models
, 64

structural change
, 58

taxonomy of
, 65–66, 68

time-dependent
, 58–59

Walrasian frameworks
, 58

web-based communication services
, 59

World Trade Organisation (WTO)
, 62–63

Conditional forecasts
, 53–55

autoregressive models with exogenous variables (ARX)
, 40–41, 50–52

downside scenario
, 40–41, 44, 47

exogenous variables
, 30–31

gross domestic product (GDP)
, 24, 28, 30, 32

intermediate pandemic scenario
, 28, 30, 40–42, 45, 48

macroeconomic variables
, 24, 27, 29, 31

pandemic scenario
, 28, 30

unemployment rate
, 24, 28, 30, 32

upside pandemic scenario
, 28, 40–41, 43, 46, 49

Contact-tracing strategy
, 113

Covariance matrix
, 15

COVID-19 Government Response Tracker
, 7

Cross-sectional asset pricing, financial markets

empirical analysis
, 80

linear setting
, 76

Cyber security
, 101–102

Data privacy
, 101–102

Differences-in-differences (DiD) analysis
, 137

Digital economy

advantages
, 96–97

AI-based technologies
, 101

consumer behaviour
, 97–98

cyber security
, 101–102

data privacy
, 101–102

decision-making process
, 98

digital businesses
, 95–96

digital demand
, 97–98

digital globalisation
, 99–100

digital supply and productivity
, 98–99

ethical concerns
, 101

global disruption
, 96

industrial revolution
, 101

market structure
, 100–101

product selection
, 98

remote work policies
, 100–101

risk assessment strategies
, 101–102

social activities
, 95–96

social distancing policies
, 100–101

World Health Organisation (WHO)
, 95–96

Digital globalisation
, 99–100

Distributed Lag Model
, 108

Econometric models
, 75

factor models
, 6–7

vector autoregressive model with exogenous variables (VARX)
, 7–8

Empirical analysis, financial markets

comovement
, 77–80

cross-sectional asset pricing
, 80

out-of-sample forecasting
, 81–82

Epidemic models. See Uncertainty estimation, Italy

Ethnic inequality, United Kingdom

digital services
, 155

Minority Ethnic Groups (MEGs). See also Minority Ethnic Groups (MEGs)
, 144

UK-Biobank and UK Labour Force Survey (UKLFS)
, 144

UK Household Longitudinal Study (UKHLS)
, 144

vaccination campaign
, 152–155

European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)
, 3

Extreme value theory (EVT)
, 78–79

Factor model (FM) approach

2008-crisis samples
, 9–10

augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) procedure
, 5

autoregressive models with exogenous variables (ARX)
, 17, 20, 32

‘business as usual’ recovery strategies
, 1–2

conditional forecasts. See also Conditional forecasts
, 24

covariance matrix
, 15

econometric modelling
, 6–8

eigenvalue gaps over time
, 16

eigenvalues distribution
, 9, 12, 15

European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)
, 3

forecasting error bands
, 18–21

Gershgorin’s circles
, 15–17, 36–37

labour market
, 2

macroeconomic variables
, 3–5

Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker (OxCGRT)
, 5

post-COVID-19
, 2

public expenditure index (PE). See also Public expenditure index (PE)
, 21

rolling window estimation approach
, 8–9, 38–40

Root Mean Square Error (RMSE)
, 17–18, 20, 22

sequential factor estimation
, 9, 11–12, 14

socio-economic resilience
, 1–2

tracking error (TE)
, 8–9, 17

US and EU economies
, 2–3

US employment
, 9, 11

variance
, 9, 11–14, 36, 38

Financial markets

and COVID-19 pandemic
, 72–73

economic indicators
, 71–72, 74

empirical analysis
, 77–82

empirical literature
, 72, 74–75

linear setting
, 76–77

nonlinear dynamics
, 75–76

time series
, 72

Forecasting error bands
, 18–21

Gender inequality
, 130

General Anxiety Disorder 7-item scale (GAD-7)
, 137

12-item General Health Questionnaire (GHQ)
, 135–136, 146

Gershgorin’s circles
, 15–17, 36–37

rolling window size
, 38, 40

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
, 3, 17

conditional forecasts
, 24, 28, 30, 32

seismology, United States
, 86–87, 90–91

Hamer–Kermack–McKendrick–Soper (SIR) model
, 105–106

applications
, 106

contact-tracing strategy
, 113

differential equations
, 107

Distributed Lag Model
, 108

Hospitalized, Intensive Care, and Deaths
, 107

Irish Health Information Quality Authority
, 112

Istituto Superiore di Sanita
, 112–113

model parameters
, 110

Nelder–Mead optimizer algorithm
, 111

pandemic data
, 110–111

parameter estimation
, 111

recovery rate
, 108

regressive-autoregressive time series model
, 108

SIHCRD model
, 108–111, 114

Susceptible, Infected, and Recovered
, 107

transmission rate
, 108

Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP)
, 9

Impact of Event Scale (IES) indicators
, 136–137

Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology (IRIS) database
, 87–88

Irish Health Information Quality Authority
, 112

Italian National Healthcare System
, 160–161

Labour market
, 61–62, 134

Labour productivity
, 62

Linear setting, financial markets

comovement
, 76

cross-sectional asset pricing
, 76

limitations
, 77

out-of-sample forecasting
, 76–77

Lombardy healthcare system

clinical manager
, 169

data source
, 162

emergency management
, 161

geographic regression-discontinuity design
, 166

hospital-based assistance
, 164

infection rates
, 160

intensive care units (ICU)
, 162–163

Italian National Healthcare System
, 160–161

mortality
, 163–164, 167

national and international realities
, 162

national lockdown
, 160

organisational structure
, 162

pandemic emergency
, 169–170

patient-centric care
, 166–167

quality assessment
, 170

quality of cares, non-COVID patients
, 167–168

quantitative evidence
, 161–162

regional pandemic management system
, 166

regional policies
, 165–166

risk perception
, 159

sociodemographic indicators
, 161

spatial autoregressive (SAR) model
, 165

MEGs. See Minority Ethnic Groups (MEGs)

Mental health

12-item General Health Questionnaire (GHQ)
, 135–136

anxiety symptoms
, 127–128

Black, Asian and minority ethnic (BAME) groups
, 132

‘business-as-usual’ policy
, 128

Census Household Pulse Survey
, 128

common mental disorder (CMD)
, 126

costs
, 131–132

counselling demand
, 126–127

COVID-19 effect
, 118, 120, 125

demographic dimensions
, 129–132

differences-in-differences (DiD) analysis
, 137

domestic violence
, 131–132

face-to-face survey
, 133

General Anxiety Disorder 7-item scale (GAD-7)
, 137

Impact of Event Scale (IES) indicators
, 136–137

labour market
, 134

lockdown and social distance
, 118

non-pharmaceutical strategies
, 117–118

policy responses
, 133

pre-COVID-19 baseline data
, 135

psychological distress
, 127–128

remote learning
, 134

risk factors
, 128–129

Shapley- Shorrocks decomposition
, 138

social media
, 119

UK Household Longitudinal Study (UKHLS)
, 135–136

Minority Ethnic Groups (MEGs)

alcohol consumption
, 147

Black minorities
, 145, 147–148

COVID-19 outcomes
, 148–150

empirical evidence
, 151

employment rate
, 144–145

labour market
, 151–152

lockdown restrictions
, 145

mental health and well-being
, 146–147

self-employment
, 145

social mobility
, 152

sociodemographic and health factors
, 150

socioeconomic heterogeneities
, 145–146

total registered hospital death
, 148–149

UK Biobank data
, 150–151

Nelder–Mead optimizer algorithm
, 111

Out-of-sample forecasting, financial markets

empirical analysis
, 81–82

linear setting
, 76–77

Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker (OxCGRT)
, 5

Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index
, 3

Principal components analysis
, 79–80

Probability Density Function (PDF)
, 88–89

Public expenditure index (PE)

downside scenario
, 21–22

growth factor
, 23

historical data and variables level
, 23–24

intermediate scenario
, 21–22

monthly growth
, 23–24

pandemic scenarios
, 21–22

unemployment rate
, 24

upside scenario
, 21–22

Quality of cares, non-COVID patients
, 167–168

Regional pandemic management system
, 166

Regressive-autoregressive time series model
, 108

Rolling window estimation approach
, 8–9, 38–40

Root Mean Square Error (RMSE)
, 17–18, 20, 22

Seismology, United States

Corona economic crisis
, 87

economic analysis
, 85–86

economic indicators
, 85–86

fixed effects panel data estimation
, 90–91

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
, 86–87, 90–91

human-induced ground vibrations
, 88–89

Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology (IRIS) database
, 87–88

macroeconomic analysis
, 91–92

Probability Density Function (PDF)
, 88–89

seismic noise
, 86–87

seismic sensors
, 86–87

seismic stations
, 87–88

vibration index (VI)
, 86–87, 89–90

Sequential factor estimation
, 9, 11–12, 14

Shapley-Shorrocks decomposition
, 138

Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs)
, 100

Social distancing policies
, 100–101

Social dysfunction
, 130

S&P 500 index
, 72–73

Spatial autoregressive (SAR) model
, 165

Spatio-temporal models
, 105–106

Spedali Civili
, 168

Stock market
, 75

Susceptible, Infected, Hospitalized, Intensive Care, Recovered and Deaths (SIHCRD) model
, 108–111, 114

Tracking error (TE)
, 17

factor model (FM) approach
, 8–9, 17

UK-Biobank and UK Labour Force Survey (UKLFS)
, 144

UK Household Longitudinal Study (UKHLS)
, 135–136, 144, 146–147, 151–152

Uncertainty estimation, Italy

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC)
, 107

convenience sampling
, 106

COVID-19 diffision
, 110–112

Hamer–Kermack–McKendrick–Soper model
, 105–106

single discrete-time equation
, 107

spatio-temporal models
, 105–106

stochastic epidemic models. See Hamer-Kermack-McKendrick-Soper (SIR) model

Unemployment rate
, 3, 9, 17

conditional forecasts
, 24, 28, 30, 32

US Department of Health and Human Services
, 72–73

Vaccination campaign

first dose
, 153

pre-existent health conditions
, 154

second dose
, 153–154

socioeconomic inequality
, 152

survey data
, 154–155

Variance
, 9, 11–14, 36, 38

rolling window size
, 38–39

Vector autoregressive model with exogenous variables (VARX)
, 2–3, 7–8, 35–36

Vibration index (VI)
, 86–87, 89–90

Vix index
, 73–74

Web-based communication services
, 59

World Health Organisation (WHO)
, 73, 95–96

World Trade Organisation (WTO)
, 62–63