Russia will continue to prioritise the Arctic

Significance

The Arctic has long been viewed by Russia as a critical region for ensuring its national security and geopolitical interests. However, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the subsequent expansion of NATO in Scandinavia has upset Russia’s strategic approach to the region as well as its plans for the deployment of military forces.

Impacts

• Russia may allow for a greater Chinese military presence in the region.
• Joint exercises between NATO and Scandinavian forces will increase the ability of member states to deter and defend against Russia.
• The planned accession of Finland and Sweden increases opportunities for NATO to gather intelligence on Russia’s Arctic forces.