Philippine leader will sway poll to pick his successor

Significance

The presidential election is scheduled to take place in May 2022. The incumbent's single term ends in June next year.

Impacts

• A run for the presidency by the son of former dictator Ferdinand Marcos would stoke tensions between pro- and anti-Marcos groups.
• If Rodrigo Duterte becomes vice president, he could encourage a renewed push to transition to a federal constitution.
• The overseas vote in 2022 will likely be smaller than in 2016, with many Philippine workers having returned from abroad during the pandemic.