Sudan’s revolution may pay wider peace dividend

Significance

The Constitutional Declaration -- a power-sharing agreement between the military leaders who ousted former President Omar al-Bashir and the protest leaders who led the popular revolution -- makes a peace agreement with Sudan’s various armed factions a priority for the first six months of the transition.

Impacts

• For now, de facto ceasefires should mostly hold, though sporadic skirmishes, including among non-formal armed actors, may continue.
• Progress in peace talks would enhance wider prospects for stability, creating an enabling environment for economic and political reforms.
• Progress could also accelerate plans for the withdrawal of the joint UN-African Union peacekeeping mission in Darfur.