Malawi set for closely contested polls

Significance

Mutharika and the DPP are facing a strengthened opposition front, with former President Joyce Banda (2012-14) and her People’s Party (PP) formally entering into an alliance with the main opposition Malawi Congress Party (MCP) and their leader Lazarus Chekwera. The newer United Transformation Movement (UTM), led by Vice-President Saulos Chilima, is also set to be competitive.

Impacts

• Despite cases of intimidation and politically related violence, the elections are likely to be largely peaceful.
• Post-poll revelations of more government overspends could see a further deterioration in donor relations.
• A close result in either the presidential or legislative polls will likely result in fraud accusations by the losing candidate or party.
• The rollout of a contentious land reform bill could cost the government support at the polls.