New Burkinabe government will struggle to halt attacks

Subject

Burkinabe insecurity.

Significance

Since the first insurgent attacks in 2015, the Burkinabe authorities have lost control over parts of several provinces, while the pace and geographical scope of attacks has markedly increased. Worsening security has prompted a recent government reshuffle, changes to the army command, increased security spending and troops being given additional powers. Coordinated offensives by the security forces in early February reportedly killed some 200 insurgents, while another 29 were allegedly killed in a subsequent operation later that month.

Impacts

• As the military’s operations are increased, protection of local populations will come under growing scrutiny.
• Domestic and international concern may grow over whether secure polls can be held nationwide as scheduled in 2020.
• New security ministers and army leadership could prompt the start of major army reform, essential for improved operational effectiveness.