Kenyan constitutional reform faces complex path

Subject

Prospects for constitutional reform in Kenya.

Significance

In the wake of his post-election reconciliation with President Uhuru Kenyatta, opposition leader Raila Odinga has continued to push for constitutional reforms. This has sparked a wider debate that has led to various reform proposals. However, so far, there appears to be little consensus on the way forward.

Impacts

• The high public wage bill will limit popular support for a new constitution that creates more political positions.
• The ‘Big Four’ policy agenda will continue to suffer amid politicking around presidential succession.
• Even with 5-6% growth trends, the rising cost of living will remain the primary problem facing most Kenyans.