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Tighter money conditions could cause multiple shocks

Friday, August 24, 2018

Significance

Financial conditions have tightened markedly, sharply increasing international investors' sensitivities to market vulnerabilities.

Impacts

  • The US stock market is on its longest bull run according to estimates, but overvalued technology stocks could be at risk of correction.
  • The Bloomberg industrial metal price index has fallen by 15%+ since early June; worries about slower China growth will keep prices lower.
  • The US yield curve flattened the most in eleven years this week; Japanese and ECB stimulus is putting downward pressure on longer yields.

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