May is unlikely to form a majority for her Brexit plan
Thursday, July 19, 2018
Significance
The rocky passage of both has laid out Prime Minister Theresa May’s key Brexit dilemma: she will struggle to secure a majority in the House of Commons for her eventual deal with the EU.
Impacts
- The parliamentary victories have secured May's short-term future.
- There is a majority against no deal in parliament; its likelihood depends on whether MPs can find a route to assert this majority.
- The likelihood of other outcomes, such as a general election or a further referendum on EU membership before March 29, 2019, has increased.