South Sudan peace process may fall at the first hurdle

Significance

However, despite all faction leaders publicly issuing orders to adhere to the ceasefire, military confrontations were reported in various locations, some within hours of the CoH’s commencement on December 24. All factions involved rejected responsibility, accusing others of instigating attacks.

Impacts

• The CoH will see more violations as the dry season eases movement and parties try to gain advantage on the ground and in negotiations.
• The government’s battlefield successes will not translate into increased political control.
• The lack of decision-making power among the parties’ delegates will make binding decisions on controversial issues elusive.