Pakistan may avoid revising its counterterror plan

Significance

Pakistan's counterterrorism strategy is enshrined in the 2015 National Action Plan (NAP), hailed as a product of political consensus and a blueprint for eradicating terrorism. Despite cross-party political and military support, the plan has not delivered on its promises.

Impacts

• Human rights groups will increase their protests against military courts.
• A potential spike in terrorist attacks would weaken the civilian government, through a military coup would be unlikely.
• Terrorist groups based in Pakistan will launch further attacks in India and Afghanistan.