Prospects for China to end-2017

Subject

Prospects for China in the second half of 2017.

Significance

The second half of 2017 will be overshadowed by the five-yearly Communist Party Congress that will be held in October or November. The emphasis of both foreign and domestic policy until then will be on maintaining stability and preventing crises both at home and abroad.

Impacts

• Debt resolution and cleaning up the financial sector will be the focus of economic policy.
• Additional security measures that always precede a Party Congress may this time not be relaxed again afterwards.
• Foreign businesses may be caught up in a politicised crackdown on the financial sector.