Haftar’s ambitions may intensify Libya war

Subject

Impact of the ambitions of Khalifa Haftar.

Significance

Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar has been trying to expand his control, changing the balance of power in Libya and marking a decisive setback for UN-led reunification efforts. The UN has brought Libyans back to the negotiating table to amend the Tripoli-based Government of National Accord (GNA), which has failed to gain the endorsement of the eastern parliament and has been steadily losing legitimacy.

Impacts

• Fighting between Haftar and his opponents would endanger the gains in oil exports.
• Terrorist groups, such as Islamic State, would benefit from the security vacuum.
• Haftar would struggle to consolidate power, even if he managed to declare a military government.