Syrian refugees increase risk of instability in Jordan

Subject

Refugee stresses in Jordan.

Significance

Alongside Lebanon and Turkey, Jordan has been one of the main recipients of Syrian refugees in the region. The Syrians are the latest wave of refugees to seek sanctuary in the kingdom from regional conflicts. Jordan has managed to demonstrate resilience in the face of these strains, but questions remain over how long it can contain them.

Impacts

• Absent strong economic growth, the kingdom risks becoming dependent on international aid.
• The refugee influx will increase the discontent of the urban poor with the government -- making them vulnerable to radicalisation.
• Political dynamics may change if the refugees settle permanently, threatening the privileged position of Jordanian 'East Bankers'.