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Myanmar's opposition looks to 2020

Monday, February 1, 2016

Significance

The National League for Democracy (NLD), which will soon form its first government, holds 390 of the 664 seats in parliament's two houses, or 58.7% after taking account of the 25% of seats reserved for the military. The former governing party, the Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP), is now the largest elected opposition group with 42 seats, or 6.3%. The NLD's majority constricts parliamentary political opposition.

Impacts

  • Ethnicity-based political parties may perform strongly in the 2020 election.
  • Other 'progressive' political parties could undermine the NLD down to 2020.
  • There could be more use of direct political action, including protests.

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