Philippines violence will rise ahead of election

Significance

High-impact attacks by the ASG, the New People's Army (NPA) and the Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighters (BIFF) in recent months threaten internal security and the struggling southern peace process ahead of national and local elections in May 2016.

Impacts

• The mining, power and energy sectors will be targets of violence.
• Companies in these sectors may need to increase security expenditure.
• The Philippines armed forces will need to expand internal security efforts.