Indonesian military set to expand civilian influence

Subject

Executive-military relations.

Significance

The Indonesian National Armed Forces (TNI) are once again becoming an important player in political and economic activities. The army in particular has increased its direct involvement in government-sponsored agricultural development and infrastructure projects, raising fears that it plans a full-scale political comeback. These fears are exaggerated, but the military is expanding its activities beyond the core area of defence -- with President Joko 'Jokowi' Widodo's support.

Impacts

• Comprehensive security sector reforms are unlikely.
• Local communities will suffer intimidation and coercion where military units need access to land to accelerate food security programmes.
• However, since the public at large trusts the military, Jokowi faces limited pressure to loosen executive-military ties.