Saudi Arabia faces long war in Yemen

Significance

The Saudi-led coalition has been bombing Yemen since March 26. "Operation Decisive Storm" aims to reinstate the government of President Abd Rabbu Mansour Hadi and roll back the territorial gains of Huthi forces and their military allies linked to former President Ali Abdallah Saleh. Almost three weeks in, the campaign has impaired and delayed Huthi advances, but has not prevented them from entering Aden and making gains in several parts of Yemen.

Impacts

• Iran has sent two ships to the Gulf of Aden, but will not risk open confrontation with the Arab coalition and United States.
• Pressure for a humanitarian pause to allow aid deliveries will increase.
• Degradation of national army and arming of militias will likely lead to a switch of power from centre to regions and a new federal system.