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The impact of long-term riskless asset on ensuring liquidity and preventing banking fragility

Mahmoud Shahin (School of Economics and Finance, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK)

Journal of Economic Studies

ISSN: 0144-3585

Article publication date: 24 June 2021

Issue publication date: 6 May 2022

162

Abstract

Purpose

Through portfolio diversification, the author identifies the risk sharing deposit contract in a three-period model that maximizes the ex ante expected utility of depositors.

Design/methodology/approach

In this paper, the author extends the study by Allen and Gale (1998) by adding a long-term riskless investment opportunity to the original portfolio of a short-term liquid asset and a long-term risky illiquid asset.

Findings

Unlike Allen and Gale, there are no information-based bank runs in equilibrium. In addition, the model can improve consumers' welfare over the Allen and Gale model. The author also shows that the bank will choose to liquidate the cheaper investments, in terms of the gain-loss ratios for the two types of existing long-term assets, when there is liquidity shortage in some cases. Such a policy reduces the liquidation cost and enables the bank to meet the outstanding liability to depositors without large liquidation losses.

Originality/value

The author believe that the reader would be interested in this article because it is relevant to real world where depositors rush to withdraw their deposits from a bank if there is negative information about future prospect of the bank asset portfolio and bank investment. Economists and financial analysts need to determine the suitable mechanism to improve the stability of the bank and the depositor welfare.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

This paper is a modified version of chapter 2 of the author’s University of Exeter dissertation. The author would like to thank Todd Kaplan and Surajeet Chakravarty for their insightful comments that greatly improved the manuscript. He would like to show his gratitude to Tatiana Damjanovic, Yoski Igarshi and Christian Siegel for their keen suggestions. The author would also like to thank seminar participants at the University of Exeter and University of West England for their useful comments and suggestions. All remaining errors the author’s own.

Citation

Shahin, M. (2022), "The impact of long-term riskless asset on ensuring liquidity and preventing banking fragility", Journal of Economic Studies, Vol. 49 No. 4, pp. 683-698. https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-11-2020-0558

Publisher

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Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2021, Emerald Publishing Limited

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