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Firm investment decisions for information security under a fuzzy environment: a game-theoretic approach

Rohit Gupta (Operations Management Area, Indian Institute of Management Ranchi, Ranchi, India)
Baidyanath Biswas (Information Technology and Operations Area, International Management Institute – Kolkata, Kolkata, India)
Indranil Biswas (Operation Management Area, Indian Institute of Management Lucknow, Lucknow, India)
Shib Sankar Sana (Department of Mathematics, Kishore Bharati Bhagini Nivedita College, Kolkata, India)

Information and Computer Security

ISSN: 2056-4961

Article publication date: 26 August 2020

Issue publication date: 10 May 2021

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Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to examine optimal decisions for information security investments for a firm in a fuzzy environment. Under both sequential and simultaneous attack scenarios, optimal investment of firm, optimal efforts of attackers and their economic utilities are determined.

Design/methodology/approach

Throughout the analysis, a single firm and two attackers for a “firm as a leader” in a sequential game setting and “firm versus attackers” in a simultaneous game setting are considered. While the firm makes investments to secure its information assets, the attackers spend their efforts to launch breaches.

Findings

It is observed that the firm needs to invest more when it announces its security investment decisions ahead of attacks. In contrast, the firm can invest relatively less when all agents are unaware of each other’s choices in advance. Further, the study reveals that attackers need to exert higher effort when no agent enjoys the privilege of being a leader.

Research limitations/implications

In a novel approach, inherent system vulnerability of the firm, financial benefit of attackers from the breach and monetary loss suffered by the firm are considered, as fuzzy variables in the well-recognized Gordon – Loeb breach function, with the help of fuzzy expectation operator.

Practical implications

This study reports that the optimal breach effort exerted by each attacker is proportional to its obtained economic benefit for both sequential and simultaneous attack scenarios. A set of numerical experiments and sensitivity analyzes complement the analytical modeling.

Originality/value

In a novel approach, inherent system vulnerability of the firm, financial benefit of attackers from the breach and monetary loss suffered by the firm are considered, as fuzzy variables in the well-recognized Gordon – Loeb breach function, with the help of fuzzy expectation operator.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

The authors sincerely thank the anonymous referees for their encouraging suggestions that significantly improved this manuscript. The authors also thank the Editor of this journal, Professor Steven M Furnell, for his continued guidance and support during the revision.

Citation

Gupta, R., Biswas, B., Biswas, I. and Sana, S.S. (2021), "Firm investment decisions for information security under a fuzzy environment: a game-theoretic approach", Information and Computer Security, Vol. 29 No. 1, pp. 73-104. https://doi.org/10.1108/ICS-02-2020-0028

Publisher

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Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2020, Emerald Publishing Limited

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