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BCG and COVID-19: correlation or causality or neither?

Manoj Dayal Chiba (University of Pretoria Gordon Institute of Business Science, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa)
Abdullah Verachia (Faculty, University of Pretoria Gordon Institute of Business Science, Johannesburg, South Africa)

Publication date: 12 March 2021

Abstract

Learning outcomes

The learning outcome is to understand the difference between correlation and causation.

Case overview/synopsis

The case is set during the period of the COVID-19 pandemic, globally a search for effective treatments were underway. An initial forerunner that was being considered was Bacille Calmette-Guerin (BCG), given its effectiveness in the treatment of tuberculosis and other pulmonary-related infections. While there were a lack of randomised controlled trials, initial data from publicly related secondary data sources indicated that, in countries with BCG inoculation policies, the severity of the spread and mortality of COVID-19 was muted. The case is centered around the available information on BCG and COVID-19.

Complexity academic level

Post-graduate students learning statistics as part of a degree programme. The case assumes no prior statistics knowledge and therefore is aimed at teaching the difference between correlation and causation.

Subject code

CSS 7: Management Science

Supplementary materials

Teaching Notes are available for educators only.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

Disclaimer. This case is written solely for educational purposes and is not intended to represent successful or unsuccessful managerial decision-making. The authors may have disguised names; financial and other recognizable information to protect confidentiality.

Citation

Chiba, M.D. and Verachia, A. (2021), "BCG and COVID-19: correlation or causality or neither?", , Vol. 11 No. 1. https://doi.org/10.1108/EEMCS-05-2020-0166

Publisher

:

Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2021, Emerald Publishing Limited

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